I love
basketball so for my final VBA project, I decided to create a mock draft for
the upcoming NBA lottery. On May 20th,
2014 the real NBA Lottery will occur for each team that failed to make the
playoffs. Each team is assigned a given
a number of balls according to how many wins and losses that they had the
previous season. The team with the worst
record is assigned the most balls; the team with the second worst record is
assigned the second most balls, and so on.
There are a total of 1000 balls.
The breakdown for each team is shown below.
Team Rank (out of 30)
|
Number of Balls
|
Chance of winning lottery
|
30
|
250
|
25.0%
|
29
|
199
|
19.9%
|
28
|
156
|
15.6%
|
27
|
119
|
11.9%
|
26
|
88
|
8.8%
|
25
|
63
|
6.3%
|
24
|
43
|
4.3%
|
23
|
28
|
2.8%
|
22
|
17
|
1.7%
|
21
|
11
|
1.1%
|
20
|
8
|
.8%
|
19
|
7
|
.7%
|
18
|
6
|
.6%
|
17
|
5
|
.5%
|
The
purpose of the lottery is to determine the real draft order that occurs when
the season is over at the end of June. “Winning”
the lottery means that you will be the first to draft the player of your choice
that is coming out of college. The
lottery is completely random and is designed to give the teams with the worst
records a better shot at getting a higher draft pick which will allow them to
choose the player that they feel will fit best with their team. The hope is that whichever player they select
will then help them win more games the upcoming year.
The
purpose of my project was to recreate this lottery based off of accurate
up-to-the-minute data to see what the chances each team had of winning the
lottery, so that I wouldn’t have to wait until the end of the season to start
guessing where the best college players are most likely to end up next year.
http://files.gove.net/shares/files/14w/paytonvo/final_write_up_vba.pdf
http://files.gove.net/shares/files/14w/paytonvo/FinalProject_Lottery.xlsm
http://files.gove.net/shares/files/14w/paytonvo/final_write_up_vba.pdf
http://files.gove.net/shares/files/14w/paytonvo/FinalProject_Lottery.xlsm
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